Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Ugo Humbert		Terence Atmane

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.71
	2.24	1.72
	2.07	1.76	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.18	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.85)	1.73 ↓ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
44.8%

Terence Atmane
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ugo Humbert's form might have worsened.

Terence Atmane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Terence Atmane's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Terence Atmane than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	0%	68.2%

Ugo Humbert - Terence Atmane Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Atmane will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atmane: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atmane (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 34. Atmane is ranked ATP: 47.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Atmane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Humbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Humbert - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 52.44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Terence Atmane - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 47.56%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Ugo Humbert - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Moise Kouame - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Alexander Bublik - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Ugo Humbert - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL
- Terence Atmane
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Terence Atmane - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Arthur Fils - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Terence Atmane	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Terence Atmane - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Ugo Humbert - Terence Atmane	2:0

Ugo Humbert - Terence Atmane: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide