Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WASHINGTON (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: WASHINGTON (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	SportKlub
Brazil	13:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 1
Croatia	18:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	18:00	Eurosport 2
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Sport X
Finland	19:00	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	18:00	beIN Sports, Eurosport 2
Germany	18:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	18:00	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Serbia	18:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	18:00	SportKlub
Sweden	18:00	Discovery+, Eurosport 1


	Ugo Humbert		Thanasi Kokkinakis

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.56	2.43
	1.56	2.4
	1.59	2.53
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.48	Watch
	1.59	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.44)	2.45 ↓ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
61.2%

Thanasi Kokkinakis
38.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ugo Humbert's form might have worsened.

Thanasi Kokkinakis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thanasi Kokkinakis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ugo Humbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thanasi Kokkinakis than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thanasi Kokkinakis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	0%	22.7%

Ugo Humbert - Thanasi Kokkinakis Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Kokkinakis will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Humbert is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kokkinakis is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Humbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Humbert will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Atlanta
29.07.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
28.07.23	Ugo Humbert - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Ugo Humbert - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Ugo Humbert - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
ATP Newport
22.07.23	Ugo Humbert - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWL
- Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Washington
01.08.23	Taro Daniel - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
26.07.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
24.07.23	Gael Monfils - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - James Kent Trotter	Kokkinakis T. retired ✺
18.07.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Patrick Kypson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLW?W

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Ugo Humbert - Botic Van De Zandschulp	✺

Ugo Humbert - Thanasi Kokkinakis