Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Koblenz, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Koblenz 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Vadym Ursu		Jonas Forejtek

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.66)	1.41 (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vadym Ursu
34.2%

Jonas Forejtek
65.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vadym Ursu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Jonas Forejtek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Vadym Ursu - Jonas Forejtek Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Forejtek (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jonas Forejtek will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ursu is ranked ATP: 430. Forejtek is ranked ATP: 390.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Forejtek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Forejtek could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Vadym Ursu - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.64%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vadym Ursu
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Vadym Ursu - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Vadym Ursu	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Vadym Ursu - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Vadym Ursu - Zura Tkemaladze	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.12.25	Pierre Yves Bailly - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL
- Jonas Forejtek
ITF Tournaments
16.01.26	Max Houkes - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Jonas Forejtek - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Jonas Forejtek - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Jonas Forejtek - Taisei Ichikawa	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Timofey Skatov - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

Vadym Ursu - Jonas Forejtek