Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Manama 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Vadym Ursu		Juan Alejandro Hernandez

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.63
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.85)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vadym Ursu
44.4%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
55.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vadym Ursu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vadym Ursu's form might have worsened.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Alejandro Hernandez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Vadym Ursu - Juan Alejandro Hernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ursu will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hernandez will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ursu (votes: 2 - 100%).

#ad

Preview

Ursu is ranked ATP: 430. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 415.

Ursu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hernandez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ursu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Vadym Ursu - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.07%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vadym Ursu
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Vadym Ursu - Zura Tkemaladze	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.12.25	Pierre Yves Bailly - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Faris Zakaryia - Vadym Ursu	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Vadym Ursu - Artur Kukasian	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Jan Hrazdil - Vadym Ursu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW
- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Markus Malaszszak - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	Canceled ✺
26.11.25	Nicolas Barrientos - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWL?L

Vadym Ursu - Juan Alejandro Hernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide