Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday


	Vadym Ursu		Manas Manoj Dhamne

	1	2
			Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.57	1.54
	2.46	1.48
	2.3	1.49
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.39	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.99)	1.51 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vadym Ursu
38.4%

Manas Manoj Dhamne
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vadym Ursu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vadym Ursu's performance.

Manas Manoj Dhamne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manas Manoj Dhamne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vadym Ursu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manas Manoj Dhamne than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manas Manoj Dhamne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Vadym Ursu - Manas Manoj Dhamne Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ursu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dhamne will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ursu is ranked ATP: 401. Dhamne is ranked ATP: 362.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Dhamne is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Vadym Ursu - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.42%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vadym Ursu
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Vadym Ursu - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Denis Yevseyev - Vadym Ursu	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Mert Naci Turker - Vadym Ursu	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Vadym Ursu - Dominik Palan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- Manas Manoj Dhamne
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Gijs Brouwer - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Semen Pankin - Manas Manoj Dhamne	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Koray Kirci - Manas Manoj Dhamne	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
11.07.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL

Vadym Ursu - Manas Manoj Dhamne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide