Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Samsun, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday


	Denis Yevseyev		Vadym Ursu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.45	Watch
	1.7	2.24
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	2.18	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.24)	2.21 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
57.1%

Vadym Ursu
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Yevseyev's performance.

Vadym Ursu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vadym Ursu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Yevseyev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vadym Ursu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Denis Yevseyev - Vadym Ursu Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Yevseyev will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Ursu will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 441. Ursu is ranked ATP: 416.

Yevseyev has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ursu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ursu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ursu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Denis Yevseyev - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Denis Yevseyev - Tuncay Duran	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Denis Yevseyev - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Guy Den Ouden - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Denis Yevseyev - Gerard Campana Lee	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Denis Yevseyev - Leonardo Borrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW
- Vadym Ursu
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Mert Naci Turker - Vadym Ursu	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Vadym Ursu - Dominik Palan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Vadym Ursu - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.06.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLLL

Denis Yevseyev - Vadym Ursu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide