Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Islamabad, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Vadym Ursu		Timofei Derepasko

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.57	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.85)	2.26 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vadym Ursu
58.9%

Timofei Derepasko
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vadym Ursu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vadym Ursu's performance.

Timofei Derepasko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Timofei Derepasko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vadym Ursu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofei Derepasko than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Timofei Derepasko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vadym Ursu - Timofei Derepasko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ursu is ranked ATP: 452. Derepasko is ranked ATP: 817.

Ursu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Derepasko is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Derepasko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ursu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Vadym Ursu - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vadym Ursu
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Muhammad Shoaib	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
18.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Izan Almazan Valiente	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Vadym Ursu - Michael Gloeckler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW
- Timofei Derepasko
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Timofei Derepasko - Koray Kirci	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Timofei Derepasko - Caheer Warik	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Timofei Derepasko - Adrian Arcon	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Timofei Derepasko - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Timofei Derepasko - Manish Sureshkumar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW

Vadym Ursu - Timofei Derepasko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide