Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Manama, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Timofei Derepasko		Ivan Marrero Curbelo

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.04	1.75
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.07	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.6)	1.7 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofei Derepasko
45.1%

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofei Derepasko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timofei Derepasko's performance.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ivan Marrero Curbelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofei Derepasko than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofei Derepasko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ivan Marrero Curbelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Timofei Derepasko - Ivan Marrero Curbelo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Derepasko (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Derepasko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Derepasko is ranked ATP: 827. Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 619.

In recent matches, Derepasko has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Marrero Curbelo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Derepasko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Marrero Curbelo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Marrero Curbelo will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofei Derepasko
ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Timofei Derepasko - Manish Sureshkumar	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Timofei Derepasko	Bakshi A. retired ✺
06.11.25	Timofei Derepasko - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Peter Fajta - Timofei Derepasko	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	David Bakonyi - Timofei Derepasko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 W?LLW
- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Leo Matthysen	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Volodymyr Iakubenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW

Timofei Derepasko - Ivan Marrero Curbelo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide