Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 March 2024, Monday


	Christian Garin		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.35	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.34
	1.63	2.34
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.28	Watch
	1.56	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	2.32 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
59.3%

Valentin Vacherot
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Christian Garin - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Vacherot will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Recent matches Garin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vacherot in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Vacherot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Garin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Garin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Christian Garin - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Christian Garin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Christian Garin - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Christian Garin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.24	Joao Fonseca - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
28.02.24	Valentin Vacherot - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	Wong C. walkover ✺
27.02.24	Valentin Vacherot - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Valentin Vacherot - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Dane Sweeny - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	Valentin Vacherot - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.07.23	Valentin Vacherot - Christian Garin	0:2

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