Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence (France), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Cid V. (Fra)


	Valentin Vacherot		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.98	1.75
	1.92	1.92
	2.17	1.75
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.04	1.72	Watch
	1.93	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.67)	1.76 ↓ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
46.6%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Vacherot's form might have worsened.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Vacherot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Valentin Vacherot - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Meligeni will win (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Vacherot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
30.04.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Gabriel Debru - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Valentin Vacherot - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWLW
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.04.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Gonzalo Villanueva	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWL?

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