Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Gabas A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis


	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.1	1.68
	2.17	1.7
	2.17	1.7
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.35	1.56	Watch
	2.12	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.95)	1.67 ↓ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
43.8%

Dominic Thiem
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dominic Thiem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Meligeni will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Thiem will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Meligeni: 31.8% – 72.6%.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Meligeni Rodrigues Alves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
02.04.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Gonzalo Villanueva	Canceled ✺
30.03.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
27.03.24	Mateus Alves - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Meligeni Alves F. walkover ✺
26.03.24	Kaichi Uchida - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?LW?W
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Munich
15.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Dominic Thiem - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dominic Thiem - Arthur Cazaux	Canceled ✺
ATP Estoril
04.04.24	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Maximilian Marterer - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.20	Dominic Thiem - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dominic Thiem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide