Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)


	Valentin Vacherot		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.25	1.58	Watch
	2.35	1.62
	2.35	1.62
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.33	1.57	Watch
	2.43	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.99)	1.58 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
40.3%

Jurij Rodionov
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Vacherot's performance.

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jurij Rodionov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Vacherot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jurij Rodionov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Valentin Vacherot - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Rodionov will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodionov: 23.1% – 88.1%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rodionov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Bucharest
16.04.24	Valentin Vacherot - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Valentin Vacherot - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Valentin Vacherot - Bogdan Pavel	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Valentin Vacherot - Stefano Travaglia	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWW?L
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Munich
17.04.24	Alexander Zverev - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Jurij Rodionov - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.24	Jurij Rodionov - Leandro Riedi	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Benjamin Hassan - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
10.04.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW

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