Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Valentin Vacherot		Lloyd Harris

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.8	1.9
	1.82	1.98	Watch
	1.89	1.95
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.74)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
51.8%

Lloyd Harris
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Valentin Vacherot - Lloyd Harris Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Harris will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harris: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Harris (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lloyd Harris will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 19., and Harris is ranked ATP: 136..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Harris may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.72%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Otto Virtanen - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Eero Vasa - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
02.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Kamil Majchrzak	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Valentin Vacherot - Aleksandar Kovacevic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- Lloyd Harris
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Kenta Miyoshi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Lloyd Harris	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

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