Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Lloyd Harris

	1	2
	2.75	1.20	Watch
	4.10	1.20
	4.10	1.22	Watch
	4.40	1.25
	3.86	1.22	Watch
	4.70	1.21
	3.98	1.21	Watch
	4.20	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.35)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
23.2%

Lloyd Harris
76.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Hayato Matsuoka - Lloyd Harris Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Matsuoka will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Harris will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 255. Harris is ranked ATP: 139.

Matsuoka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Harris is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Harris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Harris is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Hayato Matsuoka - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.88%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Lloyd Harris - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 72.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Jake Delaney	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Enzo Aguiard - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Aziz Dougaz - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Fajing Sun - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWW
- Lloyd Harris
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Jack Kennedy	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Henrique Rocha - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Bernard Tomic - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW

Hayato Matsuoka - Lloyd Harris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide