Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Valentin Vacherot		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.47	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.64	1.51	Watch
	2.65	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.08)	1.52 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
37.6%

Sebastian Korda
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Vacherot's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Korda's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Valentin Vacherot - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Korda will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Korda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Vacherot (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vacherot (votes: 1 - 50%). Korda (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 31. Korda is ranked ATP: 48.

Korda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.49%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
27.12.25	Valentin Vacherot - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Valentin Vacherot - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
31.10.25	Valentin Vacherot - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Athens
07.11.25	Sebastian Korda - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
06.11.25	Sebastian Korda - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Sebastian Korda - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

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