Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.41	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.58	1.53	Watch
	2.34	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.41)	1.53 (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
38.3%

Sebastian Korda
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Korda will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Korda will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 45. Korda is ranked ATP: 56.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sonego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Korda might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Basel
20.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
17.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Arthur Fery - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Paris
26.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
22.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
17.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
09.01.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda	0:2
ATP Metz
23.09.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda	2:0
ATP San Diego
30.09.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda	2:0
ATP Parma
26.05.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda	0:2
ATP Montpellier
24.02.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda	2:0

Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide