Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday


	Valerio Aboian		Carlos Sanchez Jover

	1	2
			Watch
	2.41	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.53
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.54	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.57)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valerio Aboian
37.9%

Carlos Sanchez Jover
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Carlos Sanchez Jover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valerio Aboian that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Sanchez Jover could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Valerio Aboian - Carlos Sanchez Jover Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aboian will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sanchez Jover will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 427. Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 374.

In recent matches, Aboian has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sanchez Jover is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aboian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sanchez Jover might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Valerio Aboian - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Marko Topo - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Yannic Nittmann - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Valerio Aboian - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Valerio Aboian - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Facundo Mena - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLW
- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ATP Bastad
13.07.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Sanchez Jover	Carballes Baena R. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Felix Balshaw - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Emilien Demanet - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 L?LLW

Valerio Aboian - Carlos Sanchez Jover: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide