The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Max Alcala Gurri 70.3%
Carlos Sanchez Jover 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
41.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Alcala Gurri's performance.
Carlos Sanchez Jover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Sanchez Jover might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Alcala Gurri that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Sanchez Jover could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Max Alcala Gurri - Carlos Sanchez Jover Predictions
Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 163., and Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 334..
Alcala Gurri is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Sanchez Jover have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sanchez Jover may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Alcala Gurri for this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Alcala Gurri has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.54%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Carlos Sanchez Jover - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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