The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valerio Aboian 26%
Federico Arnaboldi 74%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
64.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
66.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valerio Aboian's form might have worsened.
Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Arnaboldi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valerio Aboian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Valerio Aboian - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Aboian will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Aboian is ranked ATP: 415.Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 231.
Recent matches Aboian is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Arnaboldi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Aboian could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Arnaboldi is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Arnaboldi to win the game is with odds 1.31.
Watch
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