Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Verona (Italy), clay - Final

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Referee: El Jennati M. (Mar)


	Federico Arnaboldi		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.71	2.21
	1.77	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2.03	Watch
	1.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	2.06 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
54.3%

Vilius Gaubas
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Federico Arnaboldi - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: Federico Arnaboldi will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaboldi in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gaubas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Arnaboldi to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
27.07.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
23.07.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
22.07.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
27.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
26.07.24	Hugo Dellien - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
25.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Richard Gasquet	2:1 ✺
23.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
11.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWL

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