Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2024, Thursday


	Valerio Aboian		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	3.97	1.26
	3.97	1.26
	3.76	1.25	Watch
	3.6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.25)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valerio Aboian
25.1%

Gianluca Mager
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valerio Aboian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Valerio Aboian - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Aboian will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mager will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Preview

Aboian is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mager is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mager could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mager is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Valerio Aboian - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Blaise Bicknell - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Jan-Henrik Paul - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Thiago Monteiro - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Valerio Aboian - Paul Jubb	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLW
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Gianluca Mager - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
07.03.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Gianluca Mager - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
02.02.24	Federico Coria - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
01.02.24	Hernan Casanova - Gianluca Mager	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW

Valerio Aboian - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide