Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PIRACICABA (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 February 2024, Thursday


	Hernan Casanova		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.67	1.5
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.4	1.54	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.36)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hernan Casanova
35.1%

Gianluca Mager
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Hernan Casanova - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Casanova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mager is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Casanova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mager is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mager to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Casanova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
30.01.24	Hernan Casanova - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Hernan Casanova - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
16.01.24	Hernan Casanova - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
15.01.24	Hernan Casanova - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Hernan Casanova - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWW
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
30.01.24	Gianluca Mager - Alessandro Giannessi	Giannessi A. retired ✺
28.01.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gianluca Mager	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Gianluca Mager - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
26.01.24	Gianluca Mager - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Francisco Comesana - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.01.24	Hernan Casanova - Gianluca Mager	0:2
ITF Tournaments
11.04.18	Gianluca Mager - Hernan Casanova	2:0

Hernan Casanova - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide