Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordoba, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Franco Roncadelli		Pedro Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.29	3.25
	1.32	3.58
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.57)	3.14 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
69.7%

Pedro Sakamoto
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Franco Roncadelli's performance.

Pedro Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Sakamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Franco Roncadelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Sakamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Franco Roncadelli - Pedro Sakamoto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Roncadelli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Franco Roncadelli will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 274. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 426.

Roncadelli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sakamoto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Roncadelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Roncadelli is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Roncadelli will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Roncadelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Hernan Casanova - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Santiago De La Fuente - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- Pedro Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Valerio Aboian - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Pedro Sakamoto - Juan Bautista Torres	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Franco Roncadelli - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Pedro Sakamoto - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Pedro Sakamoto - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Franco Roncadelli - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2
ITF Tournaments
14.10.23	Franco Roncadelli - Pedro Sakamoto	0:2

Franco Roncadelli - Pedro Sakamoto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide