Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Paris 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Varvara Gracheva		Hailey Baptiste

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.68
	2.19	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.14	1.7	Watch
	2.08	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.01)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
44.2%

Hailey Baptiste
55.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Varvara Gracheva - Hailey Baptiste Predictions

Users Predictions: Hailey Baptiste will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 65. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 90.

Recent performances by Gracheva have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Baptiste is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gracheva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Baptiste will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gracheva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Hailey Baptiste - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.98%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Varvara Gracheva - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.25	Madison Keys - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Varvara Gracheva - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.25	Lulu Sun - Varvara Gracheva	2:1 ✺
WTA Rouen
17.04.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL
- Hailey Baptiste
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Diane Parry - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
WTA Roma
10.05.25	Elina Svitolina - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Hailey Baptiste - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Hailey Baptiste - Anna Blinkova	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Hailey Baptiste - Jil Belen Teichmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Hailey Baptiste - Varvara Gracheva	0:2
WTA Beijing
25.09.24	Varvara Gracheva - Hailey Baptiste	0:2

Varvara Gracheva - Hailey Baptiste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide