Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Varvara Gracheva		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.05	1.35	Watch
	3.41	1.35
	3.61	1.27	Watch
	3.6	1.29
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
27.8%

Karolina Muchova
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

72.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Varvara Gracheva - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Muchova will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 103. Muchova is ranked WTA: 14.

Gracheva is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Muchova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Muchova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Muchova is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Katie Volynets	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Iva Jovic - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Mihaela Buzarnescu - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
27.07.25	Lin Zhu - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL
- Karolina Muchova
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Caroline Garcia - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
03.08.25	Madison Keys - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Antonia Ruzic - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.25	Karolina Muchova - Xin Yu Wang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWL

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