Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Belinda Bencic		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.56	Watch
	2.5	1.59
	2.17	1.65	Watch
	2.39	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.17)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belinda Bencic
40.2%

Karolina Muchova
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belinda Bencic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belinda Bencic than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bencic will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Muchova will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karolina Muchova will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bencic is ranked WTA: 13. Muchova is ranked WTA: 21.

Bencic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Muchova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bencic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bencic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belinda Bencic
WTA Tokyo
22.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	Canceled ✺
WTA Ningbo
17.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Magda Linette	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?LWW
- Karolina Muchova
WTA Tokyo
22.10.25	Maya Joint - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova	Vondrousova M. retired ✺
WTA Ningbo
15.10.25	Karolina Muchova - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Magdalena Frech - Karolina Muchova	Muchova K. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 W?LW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Montreal
01.08.25	Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova	1:2
WTA Dubai
22.02.23	Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova	0:2
WTA Madrid
30.04.22	Karolina Muchova - Belinda Bencic	1:2
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.21	Karolina Muchova - Belinda Bencic	Muchova K. retired

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