Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Paris 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Varvara Gracheva		Katie Boulter

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.93
	1.84	1.89	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.67	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
50.6%

Katie Boulter
49.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Katie Boulter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Boulter than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	0%	26.3%

Varvara Gracheva - Katie Boulter Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Boulter will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gracheva: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Varvara Gracheva will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 65. Boulter is ranked WTA: 40.

Gracheva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Boulter has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gracheva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Varvara Gracheva - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Varvara Gracheva - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Varvara Gracheva - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.25	Madison Keys - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Varvara Gracheva - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- Katie Boulter
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Katie Boulter	1:2 ✺
14.05.25	Daria Saville - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Erika Andreeva - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
07.05.25	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.25	Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Varvara Gracheva - Katie Boulter	2:0

Varvara Gracheva - Katie Boulter