Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Alana Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.55	Watch
	1.27	3.9
	1.25	3.85	Watch
	1.26	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)	3.73 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
74.8%

Alana Smith
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varvara Lepchenko's performance.

Alana Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alana Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alana Smith than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Varvara Lepchenko - Alana Smith Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lepchenko (votes: 1 - 50%). Smith (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4 Games - Lepchenko (1.62) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.5 Sets - Lepchenko (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lepchenko (votes: 6 - 75%). Smith (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 122. Smith is ranked WTA: 330.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lepchenko is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Alexandra Eala	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Maddison Inglis - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
31.08.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Janice Tjen - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
05.08.25	Ella Seidel - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLL
- Alana Smith
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Alana Smith - Maria Kozyreva	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Alana Smith	1:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
02.09.25	Anna Sinclair Rogers - Alana Smith	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Alana Smith - Rachel Gailis	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Saki Imamura - Alana Smith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLL

Varvara Lepchenko - Alana Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide