Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Maddison Inglis		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.6	2.38
	1.57	2.34	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.59	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.8)	2.19 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maddison Inglis
56.9%

Varvara Lepchenko
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maddison Inglis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maddison Inglis's performance.

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Lepchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maddison Inglis than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Maddison Inglis - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Inglis will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Lepchenko will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inglis: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inglis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Inglis is ranked WTA: 141. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 122.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Inglis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Maddison Inglis - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maddison Inglis
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Claire Liu - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Storm Hunter - Maddison Inglis	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
08.08.25	Caty McNally - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Maddison Inglis - Anastasia Zakharova	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Maddison Inglis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW
- Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Guadalajara
31.08.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Janice Tjen - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
05.08.25	Ella Seidel - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.08.25	Xiyu Wang - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Lea Ma - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW

Maddison Inglis - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide