Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland (USA), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Lauren Davis

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.44	1.49	Watch
	2.57	1.52
	2.56	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	2.44	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.86)	1.52 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
38%

Lauren Davis
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Lepchenko's form might have worsened.

Lauren Davis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lauren Davis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lauren Davis than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lauren Davis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Varvara Lepchenko - Lauren Davis Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lepchenko will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Davis will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davis: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 142. Davis is ranked WTA: 387.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lepchenko won 2.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Lepchenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Davis will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lepchenko won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:7 (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
07.11.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Haruka Kaji	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Marina Stakusic - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Merida
31.10.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
29.10.24	Tamara Zidansek - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.10.24	Anna Blinkova - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL
- Lauren Davis
ATP Challenger
06.11.24	Lauren Davis - Whitney Osuigwe	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Lauren Davis - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.10.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Lauren Davis	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Ashley Kratzer - Lauren Davis	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Ann Li - Lauren Davis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.07.21	Varvara Lepchenko - Lauren Davis	2:0
WTA Auckland
07.01.20	Lauren Davis - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0
ATP Challenger
05.09.19	Varvara Lepchenko - Lauren Davis	1:2
23.01.19	Lauren Davis - Varvara Lepchenko	1:0
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.17	Lauren Davis - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2
WTA Miami
22.03.17	Lauren Davis - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.14	Varvara Lepchenko - Lauren Davis	0:2

Varvara Lepchenko - Lauren Davis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide