Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Tamara Korpatsch

	1	2
			Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.05	1.37
	3.48	1.36
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.60	1.30
	3.04	1.38	Watch
	2.90	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.24)	1.34 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
29.4%

Tamara Korpatsch
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Lepchenko's form might have worsened.

Tamara Korpatsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamara Korpatsch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamara Korpatsch than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamara Korpatsch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Varvara Lepchenko - Tamara Korpatsch Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Korpatsch will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 175. Korpatsch is ranked WTA: 78.

In recent matches, Lepchenko has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Korpatsch is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Korpatsch is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Lisa Zaar - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Anastasia Gasanova	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.06.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Noemi Basiletti - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Tyra Caterina Grant	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWL
- Tamara Korpatsch
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Linea Bajraliu - Tamara Korpatsch	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
29.06.26	Tamara Korpatsch - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
20.06.26	Irina-Camelia Begu - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0 ✺
WTA Berlin
13.06.26	Mia Pohankova - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
09.06.26	Tamara Korpatsch - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Varvara Lepchenko - Tamara Korpatsch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide