Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Veronika Erjavec		Nuria Brancaccio

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.74	2	Watch
	1.7	2.03
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)	2.02 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veronika Erjavec
54.1%

Nuria Brancaccio
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veronika Erjavec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Nuria Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veronika Erjavec than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Veronika Erjavec - Nuria Brancaccio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erjavec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Veronika Erjavec will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Erjavec is ranked WTA: 149., and Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 229..

Erjavec is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Brancaccio have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Erjavec has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:3 (averaging 1.6:0.6 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Nuria Brancaccio - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veronika Erjavec
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Veronika Erjavec - Katerina Tsygourova	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Francesca Curmi - Veronika Erjavec	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
30.08.26	Jasmine Paolini - Veronika Erjavec	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.08.26	Veronika Erjavec - Julia Grabher	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.26	Mary Stoiana - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Despina Papamichail	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Dalma Galfi	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.26	Francesca Jones - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Veronika Erjavec - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0
27.02.26	Veronika Erjavec - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1
ITF Tournaments
02.08.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Veronika Erjavec	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
22.05.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Veronika Erjavec	0:2
ITF Tournaments
01.08.24	Nuria Brancaccio - Veronika Erjavec	0:2

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