Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Francesca Curmi		Veronika Erjavec

	1	2
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.35	1.55
	2.48	1.50	Watch
	2.49	1.58
	2.46	1.5	Watch
	2.40	1.56
	2.47	1.53	Watch
	2.42	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.37)	1.53 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
38.4%

Veronika Erjavec
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Veronika Erjavec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veronika Erjavec than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Francesca Curmi - Veronika Erjavec Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erjavec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 239. Erjavec is ranked WTA: 106.

In recent matches, Curmi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erjavec is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Erjavec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Erjavec will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.08.26	Berfu Cengiz - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Emma Lene - Francesca Curmi	Lene E. Retired ✺
30.07.26	Carmen Gallardo Guevara - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Francisca Jorge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LL?WW
- Veronika Erjavec
WTA US Open
30.08.26	Jasmine Paolini - Veronika Erjavec	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.08.26	Veronika Erjavec - Julia Grabher	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.26	Mary Stoiana - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
WTA Hamburg
21.07.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.07.26	Veronika Erjavec - Julia Grabher	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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