Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maringá, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maringá 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Victor Alvares de Castro Rocha		Pavlo Tsitsipas

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Victor Alvares de Castro Rocha
31.6%

Pavlo Tsitsipas
68.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.7%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victor Alvares de Castro Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victor Alvares de Castro Rocha's performance.

Pavlo Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavlo Tsitsipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 1013.

Tsitsipas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alvares de Castro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tsitsipas is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victor Alvares de Castro Rocha
ITF Tournaments
21.04.26	Victor Alvares de Castro Rocha - Tomas Farjat	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Ryan Augusto Dos Santos - Victor Alvares de Castro Rocha	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity - Victor Alvares de Castro Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Victor Alvares de Castro Rocha - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Victor Alvares de Castro Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pavlo Tsitsipas
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Rafael Tosetto - Pavlo Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Pavlo Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Victor Braga - Pavlo Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Benjamin Torrealba	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Aaron Funk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWL

Victor Alvares de Castro Rocha - Pavlo Tsitsipas