Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Irapuato, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Victoria Rodriguez		Elvina Kalieva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.10	1.64	Watch
	2.46	1.49	Watch
	2.3	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.31)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Rodriguez
39.8%

Elvina Kalieva
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Rodriguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Rodriguez than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Victoria Rodriguez - Elvina Kalieva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodriguez is ranked WTA: 378. Kalieva is ranked WTA: 240.

Rodriguez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kalieva is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rodriguez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kalieva could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Kalieva will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Victoria Rodriguez - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.69%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Rodriguez
ITF Tournaments
28.10.25	Elina Nepliy - Victoria Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Victoria Rodriguez - Selena Janicijevic	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Lia Karatancheva - Victoria Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Victoria Rodriguez - Dasha Plekhanova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.10.25	Victoria Rodriguez - Evialina Laskevich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL
- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Sophie Llewellyn - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Elvina Kalieva - Francesca Pace	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Elvina Kalieva - Dana Guzman	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Elvina Kalieva - Rose Marie Nijkamp	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Elvina Kalieva - Mika Buchnik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW

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