Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Champaign, IL, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday


	Vignesh Gogineni		Naoya Honda

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.15
	1.85	1.84
	1.61	2.35
	1.47	2.05	Watch
	1.59	2.3
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.28)	2.15 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vignesh Gogineni
57%

Naoya Honda
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vignesh Gogineni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vignesh Gogineni's performance.

Naoya Honda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naoya Honda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vignesh Gogineni than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vignesh Gogineni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoya Honda than the current prediction. (+21.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naoya Honda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vignesh Gogineni - Naoya Honda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gogineni is ranked ATP: 970. Honda is ranked ATP: 762.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Honda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Honda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vignesh Gogineni
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Vignesh Gogineni - Stiles Brockett	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Vignesh Gogineni - Maximus Dussault	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Tristan Stringer - Vignesh Gogineni	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Bryce Nakashima - Vignesh Gogineni	Nakashima B. Walkover ✺
02.07.26	Vignesh Gogineni - Stian Klaassen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLW?W
- Naoya Honda
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Jack Satterfield - Naoya Honda	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Naoya Honda - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Kazushi Idogaki - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Naoya Honda - Sora Fukuda	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Naoya Honda - Hunter Heck	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL

Vignesh Gogineni - Naoya Honda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide