Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday


	Vilius Gaubas		Titouan Droguet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.91
	1.97	1.81	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.69	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
52%

Titouan Droguet
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Titouan Droguet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilius Gaubas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Titouan Droguet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vilius Gaubas - Titouan Droguet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 143. Droguet is ranked ATP: 174.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Umag
19.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Ludvig Fredrik Hede	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL
- Titouan Droguet
ATP Umag
19.07.25	Niels McDonald - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Titouan Droguet - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Titouan Droguet - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Titouan Droguet - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Titouan Droguet - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW

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