Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - Final

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Sport 2


	Titouan Droguet		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.13	1.76
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.34)	1.73 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Titouan Droguet
46%

Elmer Moller
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Titouan Droguet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Titouan Droguet's performance.

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elmer Moller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Titouan Droguet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elmer Moller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Titouan Droguet - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Droguet will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Moller will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Droguet: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Droguet (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Moller (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Droguet is ranked ATP: 194. Moller is ranked ATP: 117.

Now, both players are in good form.

Moller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moller could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Moller will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Titouan Droguet - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Titouan Droguet
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Titouan Droguet - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Titouan Droguet - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Hugo Dellien - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
07.07.25	Cezar Cretu - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.25	Valentin Royer - Titouan Droguet	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL
- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Elmer Moller - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Elmer Moller - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL

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