Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Vilius Gaubas		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	1.62	2.20	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.67	2.14	Watch
	1.74	2.28
	1.63	2.16	Watch
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.64	2.14	Watch
	1.63	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 (1.65)	2.18 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
56.9%

Thiago Monteiro
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 128. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 303.

Gaubas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Monteiro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Monteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gaubas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Chun Hsin Tseng	Canceled ✺
ATP Bastad
13.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWL?L
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Manuel Mazza	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Alberto Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Philip Henning - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
14.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	1:2
ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	0:2

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