Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Saarlouis, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Vincent Marysko		Marcel Zielinski

	1	2
	2.18	1.59
	2.38	1.52
	2.27	1.65
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.22	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.7)	1.6 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vincent Marysko
41.7%

Marcel Zielinski
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vincent Marysko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vincent Marysko's performance.

Marcel Zielinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcel Zielinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vincent Marysko than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vincent Marysko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcel Zielinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vincent Marysko - Marcel Zielinski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marysko is ranked ATP: 824. Zielinski is ranked ATP: 587.

Marysko is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Zielinski has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zielinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zielinski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vincent Marysko
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Taym Al Azmeh - Vincent Marysko	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Niels McDonald - Vincent Marysko	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Vincent Marysko - Julien Penzlin	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Richard Antoni - Vincent Marysko	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Vincent Marysko - Justin Schlageter	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWW
- Marcel Zielinski
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Kaspar Mathes - Marcel Zielinski	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Gabriele Piraino - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Marcel Zielinski - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Marcel Zielinski - Jacopo Antonelli	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Marcel Zielinski - Fons Van Sambeek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWWL

Vincent Marysko - Marcel Zielinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide