Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2 (Peru), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday


	Vit Kopriva		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.78	2.08
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)	1.95 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vit Kopriva
51.9%

Marco Trungelliti
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vit Kopriva's form might have worsened.

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Trungelliti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vit Kopriva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Vit Kopriva - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: Vit Kopriva will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kopriva is ranked ATP: 149. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 137.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kopriva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kopriva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vit Kopriva
ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Vit Kopriva - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Garrett Johns - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
08.10.24	Joel Schwaerzler - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Vit Kopriva - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Andrea Collarini - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Marco Trungelliti - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
16.10.24	Marco Trungelliti - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Marco Trungelliti - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.07.23	Vit Kopriva - Marco Trungelliti	2:0

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