Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.08	1.76
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	2	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.55)	1.72 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
45.6%

Vit Kopriva
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joel Schwaerzler's performance.

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vit Kopriva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joel Schwaerzler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vit Kopriva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Joel Schwaerzler - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kopriva will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joel Schwaerzler will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 248. Kopriva is ranked ATP: 102.

Schwaerzler is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kopriva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schwaerzler won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Jan Choinski - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Vit Kopriva	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Joel Schwaerzler - Vit Kopriva	2:0

Joel Schwaerzler - Vit Kopriva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide