Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Vitaliy Sachko		Jakub Paul

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.44	2.72
	1.5	2.62
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.33)	2.65 ↓ (3.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitaliy Sachko
64.8%

Jakub Paul
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitaliy Sachko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitaliy Sachko's form might have worsened.

Jakub Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jakub Paul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitaliy Sachko than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitaliy Sachko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jakub Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Vitaliy Sachko - Jakub Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Vitaliy Sachko will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Sachko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sachko is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Challenger
06.03.23	Edas Butvilas - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Timofey Stepanov - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Marius Copil - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
14.02.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Andrea Arnaboldi	Canceled ✺
13.02.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWL?W
- Jakub Paul
ITF Tournaments
16.02.23	Jakub Paul - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
15.02.23	Enrico Dalla Valle - Jakub Paul	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Jakub Paul - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Hady Habib - Jakub Paul	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Manuel Mazza - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW

Vitaliy Sachko - Jakub Paul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide