Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.33	1.58
	2.2	1.57
	2.28	1.65
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.32	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
41.4%

Pavel Kotov
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	0%	68.2%

Matteo Arnaldi - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Kotov will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kotov to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
13.08.22	Filip Cristian Jianu - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
12.08.22	Fabian Marozsan - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
10.08.22	Lukas Neumayer - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
08.08.22	Federico Gaio - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
05.08.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
13.08.22	Marco Cecchinato - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
12.08.22	Alexander Weis - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
11.08.22	Maxime Janvier - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
09.08.22	Viktor Durasovic - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
02.08.22	Pavel Kotov - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL

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