Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Orange Park, FL, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	William Grant		Nathan Ponwith

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.39	3.02
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.4	2.77	Watch
	1.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.69)	2.95 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

William Grant
68.4%

Nathan Ponwith
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

William Grant has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in William Grant's performance.

Nathan Ponwith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nathan Ponwith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for William Grant than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with William Grant that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Ponwith than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nathan Ponwith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

William Grant - Nathan Ponwith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Grant is ranked ATP: 692. Ponwith is ranked ATP: 816.

Grant is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

Ponwith is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).

Grant could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, Grant is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- William Grant
ITF Tournaments
27.04.25	Blu Baker - William Grant	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	William Grant - Ryan Dickerson	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	William Grant - Andrew Fenty	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	William Grant - Ilija Palavestra	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	William Grant - Benjamin Willwerth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Nathan Ponwith
ITF Tournaments
23.04.25	Nathan Ponwith - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Andres Martin - Nathan Ponwith	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Nathan Ponwith - Ian Mayew	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Alex Rybakov - Nathan Ponwith	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Nathan Ponwith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

William Grant - Nathan Ponwith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide