Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 4, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday


	William Jansen		Felix Gill

	1	2
			Watch
	3.50	1.26	Watch
	4.20	1.21	Watch
	3.97	1.28
	3.2	1.29	Watch
	3.80	1.26	Watch
	3.74	1.23	Watch
	3.45	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.42)	1.25 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

William Jansen
25.3%

Felix Gill
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

William Jansen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that William Jansen's form might have worsened.

Felix Gill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Gill's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for William Jansen than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for William Jansen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Gill, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

William Jansen - Felix Gill Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jansen will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gill will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jansen is ranked ATP: 1597. Gill is ranked ATP: 220.

Recent performances by Jansen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gill is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gill may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gill could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Gill - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 61.89%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- William Jansen
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Theo Papamalamis - William Jansen	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	William Jansen - Sam Ryan Ziegann	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.06.26	Dev Javia - William Jansen	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Remy Bertola - William Jansen	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Clement Chidekh - William Jansen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL
- Felix Gill
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Rafael Jodar - Felix Gill	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.26	Felix Gill - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Felix Gill - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Otto Virtanen - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Felix Gill - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLW

William Jansen - Felix Gill: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide