Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Felix Gill		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.70	Watch
	2.18	1.65
	2.15	1.74
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.5)	1.69 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 28.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Gill
44.6%

Hugo Gaston
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Gill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felix Gill's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Gill that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Felix Gill - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gill will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Gaston will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gill is ranked ATP: 220. Gaston is ranked ATP: 119.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.5%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Gill
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Felix Gill - Filippo Romano	1:2 ✺
04.06.26	Felix Gill - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Ugo Blanchet - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.26	Felix Gill - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Alex Molcan - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Hugo Gaston	3:1 ✺
25.05.26	Hugo Gaston - Gael Monfils	3:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.05.26	Hugo Gaston - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Marko Topo - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW

Felix Gill - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide