Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday


	Woobin Shin		Shunsuke Nakagawa

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
			Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.43	2.66
	1.43	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.73)	2.58 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woobin Shin
64%

Shunsuke Nakagawa
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woobin Shin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Woobin Shin's performance.

Shunsuke Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shunsuke Nakagawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woobin Shin than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Woobin Shin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shunsuke Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shunsuke Nakagawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Woobin Shin - Shunsuke Nakagawa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Shin (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shin (votes: 3 - 100%).

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Preview

Shin is ranked ATP: 444. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 1054.

Shin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Nakagawa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nakagawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woobin Shin
ITF Tournaments
01.07.25	Woobin Shin - Makoto Ochi	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Woobin Shin - Luca Castelnuovo	Shin W. retired ✺
18.06.25	Woobin Shin - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Woobin Shin - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Woobin Shin - Ye Cong Mo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 W?WWL
- Shunsuke Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Yuta Tomida - Shunsuke Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Shunsuke Nakagawa - Jesse Delaney	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Yuichiro Inui - Shunsuke Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Pawit Sornlaksup - Shunsuke Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
27.05.25	Nick Chappell - Shunsuke Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Woobin Shin - Shunsuke Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide