Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday


	Woobin Shin		Luca Castelnuovo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.8
	1.91	1.85
			Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.83	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)	1.86 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woobin Shin
50.1%

Luca Castelnuovo
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woobin Shin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woobin Shin than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Preview

Shin is ranked ATP: 457. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 663.

Recent performances by Shin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Castelnuovo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Woobin Shin - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.18%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Luca Castelnuovo - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.82%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woobin Shin
ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Woobin Shin - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Woobin Shin - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Woobin Shin - Ye Cong Mo	0:2 ✺
05.06.25	Woobin Shin - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Woobin Shin - Renta Tokuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLW
- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Kasidit Samrej	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Linang Xiao - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
01.06.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Arda Azkara	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Daniel De Jonge - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Georgi Georgiev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.07.23	Woobin Shin - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2

Woobin Shin - Luca Castelnuovo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide