Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Xin Yu Wang		Ajla Tomljanovic

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8
	2	1.82	Watch
	2.01	1.88
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.97	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.6)	1.81 ↓ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xin Yu Wang
47.5%

Ajla Tomljanovic
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xin Yu Wang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xin Yu Wang's form might have worsened.

Ajla Tomljanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajla Tomljanovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xin Yu Wang than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xin Yu Wang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajla Tomljanovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	0%	82.1%

Xin Yu Wang - Ajla Tomljanovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Wang will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Tomljanovic will win (votes: 23 - 85.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tomljanovic: 71.8% – 98.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ajla Tomljanovic will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wang is ranked WTA: 30. Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 85.

Wang has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tomljanovic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tomljanovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wang won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Xin Yu Wang - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 59.08%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Ajla Tomljanovic - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.92%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xin Yu Wang
WTA Austin
23.02.26	Xin Yu Wang - Rebeka Masarova	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Xin Yu Wang - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Xin Yu Wang - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
05.02.26	Xin Yu Wang - Oleksandra Oliynykova	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Xin Yu Wang - Rebeka Masarova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW
- Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Indian Wells
04.03.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
WTA Austin
27.02.26	Kimberly Birrell - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Iva Jovic	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Venus Williams - Ajla Tomljanovic	0:2 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
01.02.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Leylah Annie Fernandez	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Nottingham
07.06.22	Ajla Tomljanovic - Xin Yu Wang	2:0

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